Sunday, January 30, 2011

Honesty Is Indivisible

Honesty Is Indivisible
Arun Kumar
CESP, SSS, JNU.
The Hindu, January 29, 2011.
The Indian ruling class has faced its severest crisis of credibility in 2010. Its past has caught up with it and skeletons/scams are spilling out of its closets. The scams have a symbiotic relationship with the black economy. The number of scams is growing and so is the size of the black economy which has now reached a mind boggling 50% of the GDP, that is, it annually generates Rs.33 lakh crores of black incomes. While the Eighties saw 8 major scams, in the period 1991 - 96 there were 26 and in 2005-08, there were around 150.
There has been an exponential growth in the average amount of money involved in each scam. Bofors was the biggest scam of the Eighties and at an estimated Rs.64 crores it was dwarfed by the Harshad Mehta scam in 1992 involving a loss of about Rs.3,000 crores (Jankiraman Committee Report). Many felt this was a gross underestimate. In the period between 1991 and 1999, about 2,500 new companies floated in the stock markets disappeared with public money much like the robber barons of the USA in 1870-90. The loss to the public ran into thousands of crores but the governments of the day did not prosecute the promoters of the companies that disappeared. This emboldened the corporates to indulge in even greater manipulations in the just concluded decade. In 1991, when Harshad Mehta was fixing the market and the issue was raised in the Parliament, the then FM said he would not lose sleep over it. This signaled to the speculators that they could manipulate without impunity and one of the biggest scams followed which impacted the RBI and the entire financial system. UTI crashed in late Nineties due to such manipulations by sharp operators.
The Satyam scam in 2009 is estimated to be upwards of Rs.7,500 crores. The losses due to the mining operations in Bellary and elsewhere are reported to run into thousands of crores. Finally, the mother of all scams, the allotment of 2G spectrum in 2008, is estimated by the CAG to involve a loss of Rs.1,76,000 crores. Even if notional, in 2008 itself, various analysts had estimated the loss to be upwards of Rs.50,000 crores. Cases of irregularities in land allotment and diversion of food from PDS are pouring in and involve the loss of  thousands of crores.
Clearly, not only the number of scams is growing but the money lost by the public per scam is increasing exponentially. Minor scams hardly draw public attention even though they affect the citizen’s daily life, like, exam paper leak, rotting food grain, police recruitment and so on.
The other major recent scams pertain to, Adarsh Society, Commonwealth Games, Madhu Koda, Citi Bank fraud, charges against former Chief Justices of India, impeachment proceedings against two High Court judges, the PF scam investigations against HC judges in UP, Medical Council of India fraud, Deemed Universities imbroglio, IPL manipulations, Sukna Land scam involving some of the senior most Army officers and so on. The list is endless.
Bofors and the Quattrochi affair were on the verge of closure for obvious reasons but have erupted in a big way with the ITAT order implying that bribes were paid. The cases against Lalu, Mulayam, Mayawati and other former CMs and Ministers are on the back burner leading to charges of political misuse of the CBI. There is hardly an agency of the government that retains its credibility in the public eye. So, eight agencies are investigating the 2G scam but there is demand for a JPC not that the earlier 4 JPCs achieved much but the hope is that a determined opposition could ferret out the truth under public pressure.
Reports that the Emergency papers are not traceable, the Home Minister’s admission that the Bhopal papers in the Anderson fiasco are missing, the indictment of Vedanta by the Saxena committee report investigating illegal mining in Niyamagiri hills all point to a system that has been so manipulated by the crooked businessmen and the pliant politicians and the executive that it is collapsing under its own weight.
Today, policy failure is writ large and governance is failing all around. This due to the growth of the black economy from about 4% of GDP in 1955-56 to the present 50%. The implication is that illegality in the country has grown and touches almost every economic activity. This is only possible if it is both systemic and systematic. The public and the private sectors, encompassing every section of society is now suspect that they have their hands in the till - Prime Ministers, Chief Ministers, Ministers, top industrialists, military personnel, judges, bureaucrats, police men, professionals and so on.
For illegality to flourish on such a vast scale, those involved in overseeing the functioning of society have to be systematically complicit. It cannot be that one day rules are broken but not the next. Systems have been set in place to routinely commit illegality and make pay offs to the functionaries of the state. For instance, police collect hafta and posts of SHO are sold. Industry plans evasion of output much in advance of the production. Thus, tax rates and controls are immaterial.
Underlying this vast illegality is a `Triad’ between the corrupt business class, the political class and the executive. Since the mid eighties, the criminal has entered this Triad leading to growing criminalization. Businessmen, legislators and so on have criminal cases against them. Policemen commit criminality in a routine way and so on. For such a system a Binayak Sen who points fingers at them becomes an anti-national; what a shame?
The growing rot over the last six decades has been exposed by the Radia tapes. They reveal how illegality has become a routine matter for the ruling elite. Glib talk of “15% man” or fixing cabinet appointments is not just idle gossip. Those manipulating the system have known this and much more but the value of Radia tapes is that there is confirmation of what the public could only guess till now. The tapes confirm the functioning of the Triad.
The lack of independence of media biggies who are now like businessmen stood exposed with the expose of paid news but is out in the open more clearly. Their link with the manipulative system and cosy relations with favourite businessmen and politicians are in the open. Those not yet exposed feign surprise and try to cover up for their colleagues by suggesting that media is not powerful enough to fix things - another fix.
Rivalries amongst politicians, businessmen and media groups have helped lift the veil just a bit and even that is hugely damaging to the state. Those exposed shamelessly deny wrong doing hoping that they would be eventually bailed out since those in glass houses cannot afford to throw stones. They feel that they can cover up and can deny wrongdoing till the last as in the case of the Commonwealth scam or the 2G scam. Legal delays, threats and political and money power come into play to keep truth under the wraps (the Bofors case remains shrouded in mystery since 1987).  
The ruling class knows how to manipulate the system (as in the Rathore case). This is feasible since most of the investigation mechanism and wings of judiciary are pliable. Cases can be spoiled deliberately as the Courts have often lamented. Further, the Radia tapes reveal that our intelligence and investigative agencies know a lot about the wheelings and dealings of the Triad but this information is not made public.
The moot point is whether these agencies have been reporting what they dig out to the higher authorities who should keep the PM briefed? If not, there is a failure of the systems. Alternatively, if the PM knew but did not act is he also complicit? Either way one can infer that scams are allowed to take place. It is also known that information is politically used viz.-a-viz. the opponents and friends. Further, how many more scams are currently taking place about which the PM may know but about which he maybe keeping his own counsel.
Is honesty divisible between financial, social and political matters? Can one be financially honest but not in the other spheres? Is it honesty that scams are allowed to take place but one personally does not take any money? Honesty is not just individual but systemic and if the number of scams grow in size and numbers can the head of government escape responsibility given the huge social and political consequences. The scams do not just lead to financial losses but to policy failure (like, the current high food inflation) whose cost is a multiple of the direct financial loss. Honesty has to be indivisible!
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