Sunday, June 11, 2017

  1.        Article in the Hindu on the Income Tax notices issued to 18 lakh entities and why those deposits may not be black. http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/painting-it-all-black/article17834428.ece

  1.  Interview published in the Pioneer on Black Economy in India: file:///C:/Users/Dr.%20Arun%20Kumar/Downloads/23ag05.pdf

  1.  Interview on black economy, globalization and Indian economy in Newslaundry: https://www.newslaundry.com/2017/03/18/nl-interviews-arun-kumar-on-indias-black-economy-and-black-money-blurb-abhinandan-sekhri-speaks-to-the-economist-to-figure-out-black-from-white

  1. Analyzing the 6 months of Demonetization; the economy sputtering while a political dividend has accrued. In the Wire: https://thewire.in/136455/demonetisaion-economy-political-dividend/


  1. Analyzing Arvind Subramanian’s statement of on why experts are sycophantic and that makes for poor policy making. In Catch News: http://www.catchnews.com/india-news/policy-making-and-autonomous-intellectuals-who-wants-genuine-debates-63127.html
6. Article in the Indian Express suggests that the methodology that works in normal times is not applicable when the economy has suffered a shock. So, why is government still talking of 7% rate of growth http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/unusual-times-usual-ways-demonetisation-gdp-growth-economy-employment-4560881/

7. Article in the DNA explains the link of black money and elections in India and why voters do not seem to care about it. http://www.dnaindia.com/analysis/column-politicians-voters-and-the-doublespeak-on-black-money-2334012

8.  A more detailed article analyzing the budget than the previous one. It appeared in the Mainstream a few days back.
 It analyses why the assumptions underlying the budget arithmetic are incorrect so that the revenue projections are likely to go wrong.
Also why more should have been done to take care of the developing crisis due to demonetization.

9. Budget article in Firstpost.

 10. Wire Article on analysis of the Economic Survey

11.  Scroll.in article on the rupture between reality and government data.

12. Firstpost article on pre-budget expectations
http://www.firstpost.com/business/budget-during-the-times-of-demonetisation-fm-has-a-tough-task-to-rejuvenate-the-slowing-economy-3217790.html

13. Article in the Citizen analysing the impact of demonetization on banks and pointing out that recessionary conditions are beginning to take hold.

14. Article from The Scroll points out that the government is trying to claim success by shifting goal posts but not succeeding. It is at: http://scroll.in/article/824129/demonetisation-shifting-goalposts-to-show-success-has-kept-focus-away-from-real-issues

15. A Hindi booklet of about 60 pages in question answer form regarding flight of capital, tax havens, etc. which we had produced last year. The link is at: http://bit.ly/2ho2gla

16. Article on measuring the size of the black economy in India in Economic and Political Weekly.
I have tried a different way of estimating the size of the black economy.
This piece was written much before demonetization was announced.


17. An article based on an interview in India Legal. It is a general take on demonetization – what is wrong with it and why it would not work but cause a lot of pain to the poor, etc.. http://www.indialegallive.com/commercial/special-story/demonetization-will-adversely-impact-97-percent-indians-15912

18. An article in the Wire looks at why cash does not mean black and why cashless economy would not lead to less of the black economy, etc. Its link is: http://thewire.in/83480/choking-money-supply-not-the-way-to-tackle-black-economy/ .

Here are two early articles on demonetization published within days of the announcement.


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